National Data: March Jobs—Immigrant Displacement Of Americans Workers Hits All-Time High! Edwin S. Rubenstein April 1, 2016, 8:45 pm
From a distance the latest job report seems idyllic—a moment of Zen. Payrolls increased by 215,000 in March, above expectations, while February’s stellar 242,000 job gain which many thought was unsustainable, was revised upward—upward! Average hourly earnings increased rose by 0.3%.
Even the one ostensibly bad piece of news—a rise in the unemployment rate—had a silver lining. Unemployment rose from 4.9% to 5.0% in March because more people returned to the labor force, a sign of confidence in the labor market.
The devil was in the details—inconvenient details found only in the Household Employment Survey. March’s employment gain, 246,000 per the Household Survey, was even greater the Payroll Survey figure, the job gains went entirely to foreign-born workers a.k.a. legal and illegal immigrants
In March 2016:
Total Household Survey employment rose 246,000, up by 0.2%
“Native-born”—American—employment fell by 32,000, down by 0.03%
“Foreign-born”—immigrant—employment rose by 278,000, up by 1.1%
Look at the March job data and you begin to understand why the “strong” job market of the past few years have done little to assuage the economic stress and anger of the average American – emotions that fuel the candidacy of Donald Trump (and, perhaps, Ted Cruz). We are seeing an increasingly bifurcated labor market: robust demand for low-wage hospitality and service workers, where immigrant workers are over-represented, keeping the total job count up; manufacturing, transportation and energy sectors, dominated by blue collar white men, losing ground.
Manufacturing was the biggest loser in March, shedding 29,000 jobs. NAFTA and other trade agreements—deals that Trump has pledged to rescind—are unquestionably a major reason.
American workers have lost ground to their immigrant competitors throughout the Obama years. We highlight this trend in our New VDARE.com American Worker Displacement Index (NVDAWDI) graphic:
DISPLACEMENT INDEX Source: BLS Household Employment Survey; VDARE.com
Native-born American employment growth is represented by the black line,
immigrant employment growth is in pink, and
NVAWDI—the ratio of immigrant to native-born job growth—is in yellow.
The index starts at 100.0 in January 2009 for both immigrants and native-born Americans, and tracks their employment growth since then.
From January 2009 through March 2016:
Foreign-born immigrant employment rose by 4.104 million, up 19.4%. The immigrant employment index rose from 100.0 to 119.4.
Native-born American employment rose by 4.905 million or by 4.1%. The native-born American employment index rose from 100.0 to 104.1
NVDAWDI (the ratio of immigrant to native-born employment growth indexes) rose from 100.0 to 114.7. (100X (119.4/104.1))
During the Obama years immigrant employment has risen 4.7-times faster than native-born American employment—9.4% versus 4.1%. In many unskilled occupations the job growth gap is far larger, owing to the disproportionate number of foreign-born workers.
The foreign-born share of total U.S. employment has risen steadily, albeit erratically, throughout the Obama years:
Quote: Cincinnatus wrote in post #2This report, bad as it is, doesn't mention the Labor Participation Rate. US Labor Force Participation Rate: 63.00% for Mar 2016. It hasn't been this low since some time in the early 70s.
A-h-h-h, don't be such a downer Cincinnatus!
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